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Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Week 10 game preview


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© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

What a difference a week can make. After falling to the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Buffalo Bills find themselves just a ½ game ahead of the New England Patriots in the AFC East.

 

On the bright side, the New York Jets are next up on the schedule. Unfortunately, the Bills have been playing down to their opponents for a few games now. We’ve mentioned it the past two weeks, but the Bills need to avoid another slow start against the Jets. 

 

There is more optimism with this matchup, as the Jets allow a league-worst 31.4 points per game. Because it’s fun, let’s compare that to the Bills, who are allowing an NFL-best 14.8 points per game.

 

Hopefully, Zach Wilson suits up as their other quarterbacks have performed much better than the rookie out of BYU has in his first year. Specifically, Mike White had an impressive showing taking down the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8, throwing for 405 yards for just their second win of the season.

 

Zach Wilson 2021 stats - 104/181, 57.5% completion rate, 1,168 passing yards, 4 TD, 9 INT, 19 sacks, 2 fumbles - 6 games

 

Mike White 2021 stats - 64/88, 72.7% completion rate, 702 passing yards, 5 TD, 4 INT, three sacks - 3 games

 

Josh Johnson 2021 stats - 29/45, 64.4% completion rate, 334 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT - 2 games

 

Point blank, if Wilson plays, the Bills’ secondary will expose the No. 2 overall pick’s inexperience, forcing the 22-year old QB to turn the ball over. If coach Robert Saleh decides to ride the wave and start Mike White, this one could get interesting. Which, it sounds like Wilson won’t play until he’s 100%, which likely rules him out against the Bills.

 

But if Josh Allen can find ways to dissect the defense underneath without relying on deep bombs down the field, the Jets’ defense should prove to be no match for one of football’s best quarterbacks, both with his arm and his legs. 

 

The Jets could run Joe Namath out there, and he still won’t be able to overcome this Bills team. And not just because he’s 78 at this point. They don’t have the talent on their roster to compete with the best team in the AFC East.

Buffalo Bills Week 10 game details, where to watch

  • Sunday, November 14, 2021
  • Start time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV channel - CBS
  • Location - MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey

 

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© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

What happened last time the Bills played the New York Jets?

Bills 18

Jets 10

 

The New York Jets last played the Buffalo Bills in Week 7 of 2020. Gang Green was 0-6, nothing new there. Meanwhile, the Rumbling Herd was 4-2. Yet somehow, the Jets gave the Bills an actual run for their money by losing by only eight points.

 

Divisional matchups are always unique. One can practically throw out a team’s win-loss record simply because both organizations know each other so well. After all, they face off twice per season, each year. The incredibly incompetent Adam Gase coached the 2020 Jets. This year, Robert Saleh, a defensive wizard, has taken over, but their defense isn’t any better, as we mentioned earlier.

 

In fact, somehow, the defense has gotten worse, while the offense has taken a slight step forward.

 

2020 PPG - 15.2

2020 Points allowed per game - 28.6

 

2021 PPG - 18

2021 Points allowed per game - 31.4

 

The main issue in New York right now is a lack of talent on both sides of the ball. One year has not changed that fact.

 

USATSI_15113778.jpg

© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchups to watch

  • Bills’ secondary vs. Jets QB

The Jets are throwing interceptions more than any other team in the NFL this season. Most of them have come off the hand of Zach Wilson, with him throwing nine picks so far. Another problem for the Jets is they don’t have any playmakers who can take over a game offensively. 

 

Free-agent signee Corey Davis has the most receiving yards on the team, with 349. That would rank fourth among all Bills players this season. Davis hasn’t played since Week 7 while dealing with a hip injury. After being listed as doubtful last Thursday when the Jets played, Davis is expected to be ready to go for Sunday’s matchup against Tre’Davious White and the Bills.

 

If Davis still can’t suit up, Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde should have a much easier task limiting the other targets on the Jets. Advantage - Bills.

 

  • Bills’ DL vs. Jets OL

We don’t know the exact problem, whether it’s Zach Wilson lacking experience and awareness in the pocket or if the Jets just have a shoddy offensive line. But we do know Jets’ QBs are being sacked at the tenth-highest rate in the NFL, taking a sack on 7.1% of their dropbacks.

 

One thing the Jets’ O-line has going for them is the consistency, and no, I’m not talking about them being bad. They’ve started the same OL group for seven of their eight games this season, which is an enviable position for most teams around the league.

 

According to Pro Football Focus, three of New York’s highest-graded players this season have actually come from the offensive line. This is interesting because they’re not running the ball well (3.7 yards per carry), and they’ve allowed the ninth-most sacks in the NFL.

 

It could simply be a product of how badly the team has played as a whole since those grades aren’t very high.

 

The main issue is Zach Wilson holding onto the ball for way too long. Wilson holds the ball longer than any other starting quarterback in 2021, taking an average of 3.1 seconds per snap before deciding to get rid of the football. It’s the worst/slowest rate in the league. 

 

Mike White, their likely starter, is on the opposite end of the spectrum. Taking just 2.63 seconds to throw, White gets rid of the ball at the fifth-quickest rate among NFL quarterbacks in 2021. This will give the Jets a huge advantage on Sunday, with the Bills’ pass rush needing to get home quickly in order to have any success.

 

In case you’re curious, (you are) Josh Allen has been taking 2.88 seconds to throw, which is the ninth-longest in the NFL. 

 

The idea is to get rid of the ball quickly, but even Lamar Jackson takes longer, unloading after 3.04 seconds, third-longest in the NFL. For Jackson, Allen, and to a lesser extent, Wilson, part of why they take longer could be because they know their athleticism can buy them some extra time in the pocket. 

 

If Buffalo wants to take advantage of what should be plenty of sack opportunities, they’ll have to be more consistent and more abrupt with their pass-rush than they were against Jacksonville. 

 

  • Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders vs. Jets secondary

This is a matchup that’s overwhelmingly in Buffalo’s favor. Even before Marcus Maye tore his Achilles, wiping him out for the season, this looked like a great matchup on paper. The Jets’ secondary is perhaps one of the least experienced units in the NFL. 

 

They have four rookie cornerbacks on the roster selected in the fifth round or later in April’s draft. The entire defense has intercepted only one pass among 291 attempts this season.

 

Once Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Emmanuel Sanders step on the field Sunday, they’ll bring 29 years of NFL playing experience, with plenty of ‘veteran’ moves ready to deploy against these young bucks on the Jets. There will absolutely be moments of embarrassment for the New York secondary when they take on the Bills.

 

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© Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills Week 10 game prediction

  • Last season’s record: Buffalo Bills 13-3, reached AFC Conference Championship
  • New York Jets 2-14, last place in AFC East

 

With the way the Bills have played recently, it’s hard to continue predicting blowouts until their offense can start firing on all cylinders once again. However, if the Bills are going to turn their early-game struggles around any time soon, the Jets present the best opportunity in the league.

 

Lacking experience and star power on both sides of the ball, this Jets team looks more like a below-average college football team than it does an NFL roster. It’s hard to find a true strength on the team. They don’t pass well, especially without turning it over. Their longest rush has been 19 yards. And they have the worst defense in the league.

 

I know I said I’d be cautious against a blowout, but it’s going to happen Bills Fans. For what it’s worth, Vegas believes. Oddsmakers have set the betting line, with Buffalo being 13-to-13.5-point favorites. Let’s hope they cover this time. All I really want is another win. Let’s go Buffalo!

 

Game prediction: 36-17 Bills victory

 

 

BillsFans.com - Andrew Buller-Russ 

 

 

Related:

Bills Turnovers Lead to Huge Upset Win for Jacksonville

THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - No Offense

Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 9 game preview

Five trade deadline acquisitions that can help the Buffalo Bills

Bills Nation Wouldn’t Mind a Little Déjà vu All Over Again


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11 minutes ago, ABR said:

 

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© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

What a difference a week can make. After falling to the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Buffalo Bills find themselves just a ½ game ahead of the New England Patriots in the AFC East.

 

On the bright side, the New York Jets are next up on the schedule. Unfortunately, the Bills have been playing down to their opponents for a few games now. We’ve mentioned it the past two weeks, but the Bills need to avoid another slow start against the Jets. 

 

There is more optimism with this matchup, as the Jets allow a league-worst 31.4 points per game. Because it’s fun, let’s compare that to the Bills, who are allowing an NFL-best 14.8 points per game.

 

Hopefully, Zach Wilson suits up as their other quarterbacks have performed much better than the rookie out of BYU has in his first year. Specifically, Mike White had an impressive showing taking down the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8, throwing for 405 yards for just their second win of the season.

 

Zach Wilson 2021 stats - 104/181, 57.5% completion rate, 1,168 passing yards, 4 TD, 9 INT, 19 sacks, 2 fumbles - 6 games

 

Mike White 2021 stats - 64/88, 72.7% completion rate, 702 passing yards, 5 TD, 4 INT, three sacks - 3 games

 

Josh Johnson 2021 stats - 29/45, 64.4% completion rate, 334 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT - 2 games

 

Point blank, if Wilson plays, the Bills’ secondary will expose the No. 2 overall pick’s inexperience, forcing the 22-year old QB to turn the ball over. If coach Robert Saleh decides to ride the wave and start Mike White, this one could get interesting. Which, it sounds like Wilson won’t play until he’s 100%, which likely rules him out against the Bills.

 

But if Josh Allen can find ways to dissect the defense underneath without relying on deep bombs down the field, the Jets’ defense should prove to be no match for one of football’s best quarterbacks, both with his arm and his legs. 

 

The Jets could run Joe Namath out there, and he still won’t be able to overcome this Bills team. And not just because he’s 78 at this point. They don’t have the talent on their roster to compete with the best team in the AFC East.

Buffalo Bills Week 10 game details, where to watch

  • Sunday, November 14, 2021
  • Start time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV channel - CBS
  • Location - MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey

 

MozJPEG USATSI_15113703.jpg

© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

What happened last time the Bills played the New York Jets?

Bills 18

Jets 10

 

The New York Jets last played the Buffalo Bills in Week 7 of 2020. Gang Green was 0-6, nothing new there. Meanwhile, the Rumbling Herd was 4-2. Yet somehow, the Jets gave the Bills an actual run for their money by losing by only eight points.

 

Divisional matchups are always unique. One can practically throw out a team’s win-loss record simply because both organizations know each other so well. After all, they face off twice per season, each year. The incredibly incompetent Adam Gase coached the 2020 Jets. This year, Robert Saleh, a defensive wizard, has taken over, but their defense isn’t any better, as we mentioned earlier.

 

In fact, somehow, the defense has gotten worse, while the offense has taken a slight step forward.

 

2020 PPG - 15.2

2020 Points allowed per game - 28.6

 

2021 PPG - 18

2021 Points allowed per game - 31.4

 

The main issue in New York right now is a lack of talent on both sides of the ball. One year has not changed that fact.

 

USATSI_15113778.jpg

© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchups to watch

  • Bills’ secondary vs. Jets QB

The Jets are throwing interceptions more than any other team in the NFL this season. Most of them have come off the hand of Zach Wilson, with him throwing nine picks so far. Another problem for the Jets is they don’t have any playmakers who can take over a game offensively. 

 

Free-agent signee Corey Davis has the most receiving yards on the team, with 349. That would rank fourth among all Bills players this season. Davis hasn’t played since Week 7 while dealing with a hip injury. After being listed as doubtful last Thursday when the Jets played, Davis is expected to be ready to go for Sunday’s matchup against Tre’Davious White and the Bills.

 

If Davis still can’t suit up, Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde should have a much easier task limiting the other targets on the Jets. Advantage - Bills.

 

  • Bills’ DL vs. Jets OL

We don’t know the exact problem, whether it’s Zach Wilson lacking experience and awareness in the pocket or if the Jets just have a shoddy offensive line. But we do know Jets’ QBs are being sacked at the tenth-highest rate in the NFL, taking a sack on 7.1% of their dropbacks.

 

One thing the Jets’ O-line has going for them is the consistency, and no, I’m not talking about them being bad. They’ve started the same OL group for seven of their eight games this season, which is an enviable position for most teams around the league.

 

According to Pro Football Focus, three of New York’s highest-graded players this season have actually come from the offensive line. This is interesting because they’re not running the ball well (3.7 yards per carry), and they’ve allowed the ninth-most sacks in the NFL.

 

It could simply be a product of how badly the team has played as a whole since those grades aren’t very high.

 

The main issue is Zach Wilson holding onto the ball for way too long. Wilson holds the ball longer than any other starting quarterback in 2021, taking an average of 3.1 seconds per snap before deciding to get rid of the football. It’s the worst/slowest rate in the league. 

 

Mike White, their likely starter, is on the opposite end of the spectrum. Taking just 2.63 seconds to throw, White gets rid of the ball at the fifth-quickest rate among NFL quarterbacks in 2021. This will give the Jets a huge advantage on Sunday, with the Bills’ pass rush needing to get home quickly in order to have any success.

 

In case you’re curious, (you are) Josh Allen has been taking 2.88 seconds to throw, which is the ninth-longest in the NFL. 

 

The idea is to get rid of the ball quickly, but even Lamar Jackson takes longer, unloading after 3.04 seconds, third-longest in the NFL. For Jackson, Allen, and to a lesser extent, Wilson, part of why they take longer could be because they know their athleticism can buy them some extra time in the pocket. 

 

If Buffalo wants to take advantage of what should be plenty of sack opportunities, they’ll have to be more consistent and more abrupt with their pass-rush than they were against Jacksonville. 

 

  • Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders vs. Jets secondary

This is a matchup that’s overwhelmingly in Buffalo’s favor. Even before Marcus Maye tore his Achilles, wiping him out for the season, this looked like a great matchup on paper. The Jets’ secondary is perhaps one of the least experienced units in the NFL. 

 

They have four rookie cornerbacks on the roster selected in the fifth round or later in April’s draft. The entire defense has intercepted only one pass among 291 attempts this season.

 

Once Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Emmanuel Sanders step on the field Sunday, they’ll bring 29 years of NFL playing experience, with plenty of ‘veteran’ moves ready to deploy against these young bucks on the Jets. There will absolutely be moments of embarrassment for the New York secondary when they take on the Bills.

 

MozJPEG USATSI_17116452.jpg

© Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills Week 10 game prediction

  • Last season’s record: Buffalo Bills 13-3, reached AFC Conference Championship
  • New York Jets 2-14, last place in AFC South

 

With the way the Bills have played recently, it’s hard to continue predicting blowouts until their offense can start firing on all cylinders once again. However, if the Bills are going to turn their early-game struggles around any time soon, the Jets present the best opportunity in the league.

 

Lacking experience and star power on both sides of the ball, this Jets team looks more like a below-average college football team than it does an NFL roster. It’s hard to find a true strength on the team. They don’t pass well, especially without turning it over. Their longest rush has been 19 yards. And they have the worst defense in the league.

 

I know I said I’d be cautious against a blowout, but it’s going to happen Bills Fans. For what it’s worth, Vegas believes. Oddsmakers have set the betting line, with Buffalo being 13-to-13.5-point favorites. Let’s hope they cover this time. All I really want is another win. Let’s go Buffalo!

 

Game prediction: 36-17 Bills victory

 

 

BillsFans.com - Andrew Buller-Russ 

 

 

Related:

Bills Turnovers Lead to Huge Upset Win for Jacksonville

THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - No Offense

Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 9 game preview

Five trade deadline acquisitions that can help the Buffalo Bills

Bills Nation Wouldn’t Mind a Little Déjà vu All Over Again

 

View full article

 

 

 

36, huh?

 

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1 hour ago, ABR said:

Haha strange score, yes. I'm sure you've seen some missed kicks and safeties in your day 😉

 

It's not how you get to that number he is questioning.

 

Joe is convinced the only way the Bills score 36 points is if you combine all their scores for the rest of the year. :classic_laugh:

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3 hours ago, IDBillzFan said:

 

It's not how you get to that number he is questioning.

 

Joe is convinced the only way the Bills score 36 points is if you combine all their scores for the rest of the year. :classic_laugh:

Welp, I've seen the bills put up less than that amount over the past two weeks against garbage defenses, so, don't think skepticism is out of line.

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10 minutes ago, Joe said:

Welp, I've seen the bills put up less than that amount over the past two weeks against garbage defenses, so, don't think skepticism is out of line.

 

I share your skepticism, which is warranted.  What *may* be comforting is the fact that McDermott had another coming to Jesus party with Daboll, and probably Bobby Johnson, regarding the OLine and running game woes.  These issues are what slowed the passing game down since opposing defenses simply sold out to stop the pass.

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16 hours ago, Joe said:

Welp, I've seen the bills put up less than that amount over the past two weeks against garbage defenses, so, don't think skepticism is out of line.

Haha fair enough. Nothing wrong with that. Definitely not out of line. I agree though, haha I'll believe it when we see it st this point. Hopefully sooner than later!

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1 hour ago, Crap Throwing Monkey said:

 

Don't draw plays require blocking?

Yes and no. You allow the defenders upfield, pushing them in certain directions. We seem to at have at least half of that equation down pat.

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16 hours ago, Arm of Harm said:

Last season the Jets finished in last place in the AFC South? I guess I learn something new every day! 🤔

Whoops! South, East, what's the difference 😆

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10 hours ago, ABR said:

Whoops! South, East, what's the difference 😆

Tell me that when you are 2 miles back and trying to get out with a spinning compass. South and east really matter then.

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10 hours ago, Fansince88 said:

Tell me that when you are 2 miles back and trying to get out with a spinning compass. South and east really matter then.

Umm... moss grows on the North side of the tree?

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2 hours ago, Foxx said:

Umm... moss grows on the North side of the tree?

Not in the Adirondack Mountains.  I was on Seavy Corners state land in the rain. In September during early bear season. Long story short after following my 🧭 and it seemed to be changing directions I walked while looking at it and it spun around. The guy I was lost with had the same thing happen. No sound of cars in the distance.  No sun to go by and the woods are so thick the moss grows all the way around. As luck would have it we found a posted sign and followed that out. Ended up 15 miles up the road. To this day I carry a lighter just incase in my hunting coat.

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