Jump to content
Bills Fans Gear Now Available! ×

Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 11 game preview

   (1 review)

Image Credit: © Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports


It’s a matchup pitting strength vs. strength. The Indianapolis Colts are one of the best teams in the league when it comes to running the football. The 41st overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Jonathan Taylor, has quickly ascended into one of football’s best young running backs.


If you just asked yourself, “Why didn’t the Buffalo Bills draft Taylor?”, well, Brandon Beane didn’t have a draft pick until the 54th selection after making the Stefon Diggs trade, giving up pick No. 22. No one would do that trade over. Diggs has been a revelation for Josh Allen and the deep passing approach that excites so many of us on game day.


Not to worry, the Bills have the better strength coming into this contest. Buffalo has the third-best run-stopping defense in the NFL, and their strength isn’t predicated on just one football player. If Taylor got hurt or missed some time, the Colts are screwed. Not so much for the Rumbling Herd. They have a treasure trove of talent on both sides of the ball. Whereas Taylor carries the Colts.


Indianapolis may be hot right now, winning two in a row, but they still have Carson Wentz at the helm. Ladies and gentlemen, again, Carson Wentz

Buffalo Bills Week 11 game details, where to watch

  • Sunday, November 21, 2021
  • Start time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV channel - CBS
  • Location - Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York


MozJPEG USATSI_15414526.jpg

© Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

What happened last time the Bills played the Indianapolis Colts?

Bills 27 

Colts 24 


The Bills last played the Colts in January during the Wild Card round. Philip Rivers was still making plays, slinging footballs across the yard, but it was Bills Fans who would win in the end. 


In a slow-moving game that didn’t truly heat up until the fourth quarter, the results could have gone either way. 


The pivotal point in the game came when the Bills led 17-10 early in the final frame. Allen found Stefon Diggs for a 35-yard touchdown to put the Bills up by two scores. Diggs finished his day with 128 receiving yards and a touchdown. 


Although Diggs went off, it came down to the wire. Micah Hyde was able to bat down a last-second Hail Mary toss by Rivers to seal the deal. With it, the Buffalo Bills won their first playoff game in 25 years.


MozJPEG USATSI_17023886.jpg

© Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

Matchups to watch

  • Bills entire defense vs. Carson Wentz


You can bet the entire Buffalo Bills’ Rumbling Herd are licking their chops ahead of this matchup. Carson Wentz, while he undoubtedly has skill, he also makes some of the most bone-headed decisions you’ll ever see on a football field. He’s like Jared Goff, but with a bigger arm and more athleticism.


Wentz can make defenses pay with a nice throw here and there. He can even do a Josh Allen impression, picking up some first downs using his legs. And sometimes, he flashes some ability that makes one wonder if he’s a playoff quarterback. 


Still, he has a tendency to turn the ball over. While he’s doing better avoiding turnovers so far in 2021, the wheels could come off in Buffalo. Wentz has lost just three fumbles and thrown three interceptions all season. A large part of that has to do with their run-heavy gameplans and a top-notch offensive line.


The Bills have several defenders who excel at forcing takeaways. In fact, Buffalo leads the NFL with 2.7 takeaways per game. Interestingly, the Colts are second, with 2.1.


  • Bills’ rush defense vs. Jonathan Taylor


Imagine Derrick Henry 2.0, except normal-sized and sped up. That’s Jonathan Taylor, the Indianapolis Colts’ lead running back. What makes the Colts’ RB so lethal is his combination of power and speed. 


Taylor ran a blazing-quick 4.39 40-yard dash at the 2020 Scouting Combine, yet he can still punish defenders. He’s basically what everyone envisioned Saquon Barkley to be in the NFL.


Taylor leads the NFL with 937 rushing yards. Like Henry, few teams have been able to slow him down. He has over 100 rushing yards in five of his ten games this season.


Taylor is currently on a hot streak, scoring a touchdown in seven consecutive games. He also has a total of 326 yards from scrimmage in his last two contests.  


One way Taylor can wreck the game in a hurry is by breaking off big runs, running behind three-time All-Pro Quenton Nelson. Taylor leads the NFL with nine rushes of 20 or more yards. 


Josh Allen has three 20+ yard gains this year, and Devin Singletary has two. This just shows the drastic differences in the strengths of these two teams.


Jonathan Taylor’s a beast, and he may very well be one of the best rushers in the league today. But he’s actually played Buffalo once before. In the 2020 AFC Wild Card Playoffs, Taylor ran 21 times, picking up just 78 yards and a touchdown, averaging 3.7 yards per carry, which is far shy of his career 5.4 yards per tote average.


Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier likely has a good idea of how he wants to attempt to limit Taylor’s game-breaking ability, and it’s just a matter of execution. After all, the Bills are allowing just 83.8 rushing yards per game, good for the third-best rate in the league. The only 100-yard rusher allowed by the Bills this season was Derrick Henry in Week 6, but we’ve moved on.


MozJPEG USATSI_17164661.jpg

© Chris Pedota-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills Week 11 game prediction

  • Last season’s record: Buffalo Bills 13-3, reached AFC Conference Championship
  • Indianapolis Colts 11-5, first place in AFC South


Vegas oddsmakers have set the initial betting line. The Buffalo Bills are favored over the Colts by seven points. Which, given that the Bills are 6-3, and the Colts are 5-5, it’s a bit surprising to see bettors treating the Colts as if they’re nearly a bottom-of-the-barrel team. Yet, it shouldn’t be too shocking. The Bills have far more talent than the Colts, especially at the quarterback position.


In an attempt to keep the ball out of Josh Allen’s hands, Colts coach and former Bills QB Frank Reich will do his best to slow the game down. Their best chance to win is if Jonathan Taylor breaks off a couple of 20+ yard rushes and IF Carson Wentz doesn’t turn the ball over. 


However, such events are unlikely to happen in Buffalo. While they may not have the best pass rush in the league, the Bills do have elite talent in their secondary. If Wentz continues to gamble (he will), Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde will be there to capitalize and punish their opponents for their mistakes. 


Josh Allen has gotten his groove back, which means Stefon Diggs and Co. are as lethal as ever. Buffalo can get ahead and never look back as long as the front five holds up, allowing Allen time to find his playmakers downfield. Expect a closer battle than we’ve seen against the Jets and Dolphins, but not as close as that forgettable Jaguars game.


Game prediction: 31-20 Bills victory




BillsFans.com - Andrew Buller-Russ 




November Warm-up Tailgating Menu

Bills Demolish Jets, Get Back on Track


Buffalo Bills @ NJ Jets - A Few Thoughts about the Jets Game, in no particular order

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Week 10 game preview

Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 9 game preview


User Feedback




Good write up!

Share this review

Link to review

  • Ring in the New Year Tailgating Recipes

    This Sunday, Buffalo's last regular season home game at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park is against the New England Patriots.   Taking into consideration this season as a whole and that we are about to ring in a New Year, I decided a nice stiff drink was in order. These ciders, mulled wines, spiked hot chocolate, and coffee recipes are just what this fanbase needs to close out the season at home. (Over 21 crowd, of course) So make up a thermos to take along to tailgate or make up a slow cook

    Home Tailgating Menus

    A Few Thoughts About the Cowboys Game, in no particular order

    © Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports   I can honestly say I didn't know if was going to write another one of these this season.  Not because of the prior wins or losses, but because I don't see a point in writing the same content over and over again.  The Bills team and individual players rarely did enough from week to week that constituted 9 things and lyrics to talk about.  I mean, I can sum it all up with Kincaid, Kindcaid, McD's defense collapses, and Floyd/Oliver.  However, this Dallas

    A Few Thoughts...

    World Famous Bills Tailgating Stromboli Recipe

    This Sunday, the Buffalo Bills are playing the Dallas Cowboys at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park. And what better tailgate recipe than @mead107's  Stromboli, which has been a Bills tailgating staple for many years!?   Before watching the Buffalo Bills take on the Dallas Cowboys, why not make some Stromboli to enjoy during the game? If you are tailgating at Highmark, bring this great recipe to share.   Click here for all the information you need to attend a game at the Bills' st

    Home Tailgating Menus

    Taco Tailgating Recipes!

    This Sunday, Buffalo's late game at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, is perfect timing for a delicious tailgate.   Before watching the Buffalo Bills take on the New York Jets, why not make it Tacos Sunday to enjoy during the game? If you are tailgating at Highmark, some great recipes are on this list!   Click here for all the information you need to attend a game at the Bills' stadium and have a fabulous time!   Whether you are meeting friends at the stadium or an outside l

    Home Tailgating Menus

    Stick to Ribs Tailgating Recipes

    The Bills return home to Buffalo and are playing at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, this Monday night!   Before watching the Buffalo Bills take on the Denver Broncos, why not make a rack of ribs to enjoy during the game? If you are tailgating at Highmark, there are some great recipes on this list!   Click here for all the information you need to attend a game at the Bills' stadium and have a fabulous time!   Whether you are meeting friends at the stadium or an outside

    Home Tailgating Menus
  • Josh's underthrown ball is intercepted by NE CB Alex Austin

    Dec 31, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New England Patriots cornerback Alex Austin (28) makes an interception on a pass intended for Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (86) in the second quarter at Highmark Stadium.

    2023 Buffalo Bills

    Bills Fans before the '23 Home Opener against the Las Vegas Raiders

    Sep 17, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills fans pose for a photo while tailgating prior to the game between the Las Vegas Raiders and Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.

    2023 Buffalo Bills

    Dalton looks for yardage

    Sep 11, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (86) makes a catch during the second half against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. 

    2023 Buffalo Bills

    Gabe Davis is tackled by Patriots CB JC Jackson

    Oct 22, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis (13) runs against New England Patriots cornerback J.C. Jackson (29) during the first half at Gillette Stadium.

    2023 Buffalo Bills

    Reggie Gilliam forces a fumble on the opening kickoff

    Nov 19, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills full back Reggie Gilliam (41) tackles and knocks the ball loose from New York Jets wide receiver Xavier Gipson (82) during the first half at Highmark Stadium.

    2023 Buffalo Bills

  • Create New...

Important Information

Terms of Use, Privacy Policy, We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue., Guidelines