Jump to content

Billsfans Bets: NFL Week 9 Picks

   (0 reviews)

© Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports


Week 9 provides many fans the opportunity for a first look at their team's new additions after a bumper trade deadline day with 12 trades made. The Minnesota Vikings, who sit 2nd in the NFC overall, added tight end TJ Hockenson, who will seek to make an immediate impact against Washington. The Dolphins and Bears used early-round 2023 picks to upgrade their rosters. We preview their matchup this weekend alongside two others below: 



© Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears

Betting Lines:

Spread: Dolphins -5.5, Bears +5.5
Total: Over/Under 45.5
Money line: Dolphins -225, Bears +190

The spotlight is back on Justin Fields in what has become quite an interesting season. One of growth and opportunity as we move toward the second half of 2022. After early season struggles, Fields has improved week-on-week since Week 5, emerging as one of the few bright spots in the blow-out loss to the Cowboys last Sunday. This linear improvement in performance has coincided with a linear fall in passing yardage for the team, however, and an increased reliance on the QB for rushing yards.


Underuse of the passing game may be set to change, however, following a trade deadline move for Chase Claypool from Pittsburgh. During his rookie campaign, the Notre Dame product had a stellar year for the Steelers, amassing almost 900 yards and nine touchdowns. However, he didn't progress in 2021 as had been hoped, putting up similar yardage but failing to get into the end zone on a regular basis. Now, after a frustrating 2022 season with only a Week 6 stand-out performance against Tampa of note, Chase gets the opportunity to work with an improving offense and a longshot at a playoff spot, which is better than the Steelers team he was with.


Claypool will likely slot into the offense as WR2 alongside Darrell Mooney, who hasn't put up consistent yardage or touchdowns so far in 2022. He has nevertheless demonstrated a connection with Fields and made some big plays against the Cowboys. He has at least one catch for more than 20 yards in each of the last five games.


The visiting Dolphins' season reflects their performance on Sunday against Detroit, where they went down by 10 points at halftime but managed to grind out a result. Sitting at 5-3, they've weathered concerns around Tagovailoa's health to remain competitive in a very tough AFC East where none of the teams have a losing record. 


Mirroring their inconsistent performances, the Dolphins have struggled on defense in 2022. They have allowed 192 points for an average of 24 points per game. The defense did receive a considerable upgrade on the trade deadline day with the signing of Nick Chubb from the Browns, though. Chubb is one of only five players with greater than five sacks and two forced fumbles in the current season and should form a powerful combination alongside Emmanual Ogbah and the emerging Jaelin Phillips in their pass rush. 


On offense, the summer addition of Tyreek Hill by Miami's GM Chris Grier has seemingly been a success. The former Chief and his teammate, Jaylen Waddle, have been featured heavily in the Dolphins' offense, with almost 1700 yards between them. The run game, while active, is ranked 28th in the league. Mostert has been holding down that part of the offense with an average of 4 yards per carry. After trading away Chase Edmonds two days ago, Miami managed to preserve their depth at running back with the addition of Jeff Fisher out of San Francisco. 


I'm backing this offense to get Miami over the line and then some, back the Over and Miami to cover the spread in this game.



© Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Las Vegas Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Betting Lines:

Spread: Raiders -1.5, Jaguars +1.5
Total: Over/Under 47.5
Money line: Raiders -120, Jaguars +100

The Jacksonville Jaguars return from their annual European trip after a loss that saw some players excel while highlighting the regression in others. Travis Etienne was undoubtedly a bright spot, a career-high 156 yards repaying the franchise for rubber-stamping his RB1 status by trading James Robinson to the Jets. Josh Allen will want to put the Broncos game behind him. Recent performances have yet to meet his usual standards, and he was largely ineffective in London. Somewhere in the middle sits Trevor Lawrence. The quarterback's interceptions killed any hope of victory against the Broncos, as he achieved his lowest passer rating of the 2022 season. 


There is no better opponent for the Jaguars than the Raiders this weekend as they seek to mirror the Saints by winning on their return to US soil. Las Vegas gave up 24 points to the Saints last Sunday, giving up 350+ yards, as Alvin Kamara put in an incredible performance, reaping three touchdowns as a reward. 


The Las Vegas offense has leaned heavily on Josh Jacobs this season. He averaged 150 yards per game across almost 70 carries in weeks four through seven. Jacobs suffered his worst game of 2022 against New Orleans, with very few touches. He will seek to rectify that against Jacksonville. The Raiders are averaging 225 passing yards per game as Derek Carr has thrown as many interceptions as he has touchdowns since the bye week and struggled to attain 100 against a Saints defense ranked as one of the worst in the league. 


The game at TIAA Bank Field pits two offenses who are currently more comfortable running the ball against defenses than they are with their aerial assault. Whichever team can impose itself through the air has the best chance of victory. Across both offenses, Jacobs has been the most consistent performer in 2022. I expect a performance of around 18 carries, 80+ yards, and a touchdown on Sunday. Despite this, I expect him to be on the losing side as Jacksonville bounces back with a victory here. Back the Jags against the spread and the Under due to frustrations around the passing game. 



© Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons

Betting Lines:

Spread: Chargers -3.5, Falcons +3.5
Total: Over/Under 49.5
Money line: Chargers -166, Falcons +137

The Falcons continue to defy the odds, coming into this contest atop the NFC South. Arthur Smith's offense is continually finding a way to win in spite of a defense that has given up over 1,000 yards across weeks 7 and 8 combined. In Cordarelle Patterson's absence (knee), Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley have split carries equally, rushing for almost 100 yards against Carolina. Marcus Mariota continues to perform at a high level, despite his limited attempts for most of the season. He achieved a season-high performance against Carolina, with veteran Damiere Byrd emerging as a top target alongside Kyle Pitts in recent weeks.


Atlanta will be delighted to face a weak Chargers defense, which for me, ranks in the bottom 3 in the NFL, surrendering an average of 27 points and 358 yards allowed per game. Los Angeles has allowed 200+ rushing yards in two of the last three weeks and faces an Atlanta offense that favors the ground game. 


The Chargers sit at 4-3 after seeing a 3-game winning streak come to an end in an entertaining game against the Seahawks last Sunday. Seattle was able to limit the aerial threat from Los Angeles in that game. Despite Justin Herbert throwing over 50 passes, Mike Williams was the only performer of note, ending with 86 yards and a touchdown. Herbert has struggled with rib issues this season. Although he was recently removed from the injury report, his recent performances have been inconsistent, with defenders batting down his passes at an alarming rate, disrupting his rhythm and leading to poor decision-making, such as the recent interception against Seattle.


All of this points me towards a high-scoring contest where I expect the Over/Under line to be obliterated regardless of which team drags themselves to victory.




Related articles you might enjoy:

Billsfans Bets: NFL Week 8 Picks

Billsfans Bets: NFL Week 7 Picks

Billsfans Bets: NFL Week 6 Picks

Billsfans Bets: NFL Week 5 Picks




If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the 24-hour confidential national helpline

(1-800-426-2537) or visit The National Council on Problem Gaming.



BillsFans is not a gambling website. All information on this website is intended for entertainment purposes only.

Rumbling Herd Media, LLC is not affiliated with any gaming outlets, professional sports teams, the NFL, and/or any association

User Feedback


  • Buffalo Bills 2022-23 Season Review

    © Tina MacIntyre-Yee / USA TODAY NETWORK   I know we're not ready to process the fact that the Buffalo Bills' season is over, as many of us are still trying to come to grips with our emotions following the latest disappointment. Many are frustrated, bitter, confused, and possibly just fed up with their favorite football team after falling short of expectations yet again.   It's understandable to have mixed feelings about how to feel about this team's effort. Should we point f

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Divisional Round preview

    © Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports   Here we get a rematch of the Week 17 matchup that never happened. What was previously viewed as a potential playoff matchup has actually come to fruition. Both the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals should have had no issue whomping their Wild Card opponents, as each foe was forced to start their backup quarterback (third-string for Miami).   Yet, each potential Super Bowl contender wound up struggling to knock off their rival. As we know a

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Wild Card preview

    © Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports   Naturally, the biggest story coming into the week was whether Tua Tagovailoa would be able to play after suffering what may be his third concussion of the season, back on Christmas day. But it won’t be the NFL’s leader in yards per attempt under center. Instead, we’ll see seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson make his third career NFL start.   This small bit of news has drastically altered the outlook of the Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Wil

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Week 18 preview

    © Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports   Starting off with the elephant in the room, this is, by far, the strangest game preview we’ve ever produced here at Bills Fans. How does one prepare for the next game when we’re all waiting to hear positive news regarding Damar Hamlin?    This isn’t about us; it’s about the 24-year-old’s health and his family.    More so, how can the Buffalo Bills as an organization quickly move on and act like everything is back to normal just six

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Week 17 preview

    © JAMIE GERMANO/USA TODAY Sports   Aside from Week 6 against the Kansas City Chiefs, this upcoming game against the Cincinnati Bengals may be the toughest matchup yet for the Buffalo Bills. Unlike some other battles this season, the Rumbling Herd appears to be catching Joe Burrow’s Bengals at the worst time possible.   You think the Bills are red-hot as of late, winning six consecutive games? Well, the Bengals are white-hot winners of their past seven matchups.    Ob

    2022 Buffalo Bills
  • Our picks

    • Billsfans Bets: Super Bowl LVII Preview and Pick
      Super Bowl LVII has been set with the Kansas City Chiefs squaring off against the Philadelphia Eagles. 
      The game will take place on Sunday, February 12th at 6:30 PM EST. at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. LVII will be the 57th edition of sport's most prestigious event. 
      Kansas City will be making its fifth appearance in the Super Bowl. With a 2-2 record, they will look to get that record past .500 and continue penciling their name in the history books. 
      Philadelphia will return to the big game for the fourth time in franchise history. Five years ago, they were able to slay the dragon in the New England Patriots, winning 41-33 for their first Super Bowl in franchise history. 
      This is not a matchup rooted in history, as the teams have only played nine times since 1972. Kansas City leads the all-time series 5-4, but the result of the next matchup is all anyone will remember. ...
      • 0 replies
    • Post in Who Are the Bills Mafia?
      Apparently the Food Network was out at Highmark for the Green Bay game.
        • Cheers
    • Buffalo Bills 2022-23 Season Review
      I know we're not ready to process the fact that the Buffalo Bills' season is over, as many of us are still trying to come to grips with our emotions following the latest disappointment. Many are frustrated, bitter, confused, and possibly just fed up with their favorite football team after falling short of expectations yet again.
      It's understandable to have mixed feelings about how to feel about this team's effort. Should we point fingers, criticize opponents or refs, or even question coaching decisions after such a bad loss?
      The truth is, there are many reasons to be upset with how the Bills finished their season, in a 27-10 loss in the Divisional Round. Not to take anything away from the Cincinnati Bengals, as they proved yet again that they're an elite team, reaching the AFC Conference Championship two years in a row. But a 17-point loss just wasn't what anyone was anticipating, not for this Rumbling Herd. 
      Especially considering Buffalo's worst loss all season came by just three points. We can't help but wonder how differently the outcome could have been had Buffalo had a chance to play their originally-scheduled Week 17 matchup against Cincinnati, giving the team a good feel for what to expect come playoff time, but that's simply another excuse. Cincinnati dealt with similar conditions. 
      We could go on and on about a tough ending to another rollercoaster season, but that would be doing an injustice to all the bright spots we got to experience throughout the year. Instead, let's look back at the season that was. One that saw the Bills have their second 13-win season in four years. ...
      • 5 replies
    • Billsfans Bets: NFL Conference Championships Picks
      Then there were four. 
      The NFL's divisional round wrapped up this weekend to set up the leagues' AFC and NFC Championship games. 
      We started in Kansas City, where Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs took on Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Despite a scary ankle injury to star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs were able to hold on 27-20. Mahomes would leave the game in the first quarter but re-enter to start the second half. It is believed to be a high ankle sprain, and more updates will come throughout the week.
      Saturday's second game saw the Philadelphia Eagles completely torch the New York Giants at Lincoln Financial Field by a score of 38-7.
      On a snowy afternoon in Buffalo, Joe Cool came out on top. Using back-to-back touchdown drives to start the game, Cincinnati took an early lead they would never give back. The Bills cut the score 17-10 with a field goal with 7:12 left in the third quarter. With Bills fans clamoring for a defensive stop, Burrow led the Bengals on a 12-play, 75-yard touchdown drive lasting 6:25, taking a 24-10 lead in the fourth. A final score of 27-10 ended the Bills' season, and the franchise will have another offseason of evaluating what went wrong in the postseason. 
      The weekend concluded with a defensive showdown in San Francisco. Limiting Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott to 206 passing yards, the 49ers' defense looked every bit Super Bowl-ready. Rookie quarterback Brock Purdy was able to do enough, and do-it-all Christian McCaffrey found the end zone for the eighth straight week. The 49ers won 19-12. 
      It should be a great Championship weekend as the Cincinnati Bengals will travel to Arrowhead to play the Chiefs. The 49ers have set up a date with the Eagles and will leave their nice weather for a game in Philadelphia.  ...
      • 0 replies
    • 2023/01/22 Bills vs. Bengals - Playoffs - Divisional Round
      Bills close out the season with an ugly loss to the Bengals 10-27
      • 0 replies
  • Sean McDermott on the field before the Vikings game

    Nov 13, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott on the field before a game against the Minnesota Vikings at Highmark Stadium.

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Josh celebrates this TD with Rodger Saffold III

    Roger Saffold of the Buffalo Bills celebrates with Buffalo Bills quarterback, Josh Allen as Allen scores his team's second TD of the first half as the New York Jets host the Buffalo Bills in an AFC East game played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ on November 6 2022.

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Josh looks to throw as David Quessenberry protects

    Dec 1, 2022; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) looks to pass against the New England Patriots in the first quarter at Gillette Stadium.

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Kaiir Elam looks to tackle Colts RB Julian Blackmon

    Aug 13, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Indianapolis Colts running back Julian Blackmon (32) looks to break a tackle by Buffalo Bills cornerback Kaiir Elam (24) in the second quarter pre-season game at Highmark Stadium.

    2022 Buffalo Bills

    Damar Hamlin can not stop Tyreek Hill from catching this TD pass

    Dec 17, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) catches a pass for a touchdown against Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin (3) during the second half at Highmark Stadium.

    2022 Buffalo Bills

  • Create New...

Important Information

Terms of Use, Privacy Policy, We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue., Guidelines